The Cincinnati Reds are just two games back in the NL Wild Card race with a 56-51 record. The Reds will look to close that gap when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Cincinnati has won four of its past five games but is coming off a 5-2 loss to the Dodgers on Monday. According to the latest MLB odds, the Reds are +129 underdogs, which is one of the longshots that SportsLine’s model is targeting on Tuesday.
The model is also backing the Pirates (+141) on the road against the Giants, identifying value on Pittsburgh as one of its MLB upset picks. Before making any MLB picks or building any MLB parlays, you’ll want to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. Bet on every MLB game at DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can get $150 in bonus bets instantly with the latest DraftKings promo code:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 19 of the 2025 MLB season a profitable 27-22 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It has excelled in making home run prop picks this season, returning more than 40 units of profit. Anybody following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
The model has broken down the MLB odds for Tuesday and just revealed its top MLB longshot picks. Combining the model’s three picks into an MLB parlay would result in a payout of +1169 (risk $100 to win $1,169). New users can even take advantage of the bet365 bonus code, which offers $150 in bonus bets with the placement of a $5+ bet. Click here to claim the offer:
Here are its best longshot bets for the MLB slate on Tuesday:
- Reds money line vs. Dodgers (+129)
- Juan Soto, Mets, Over 1.5 total bases (+130)
- Pirates money line vs. Giants (+141)
- Combine these picks for a shot at a +1169 payout (odds subject to change)
Reds money line vs. Dodgers (+129)
Cincinnati lost the series opener on Monday, but the Reds have been playing well of late. The Reds are 4-1 in their last five games and 10-3 in their past 13 meetings against an opponent from the NL West. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are 6-13 in their last 19 games and 3-7 in their past 10 meetings against an opponent from the NL. The model has Cincinnati winning in well over 50% of simulations, providing value at this price.
Juan Soto, Mets, Over 1.5 total bases (+130)
Soto enters Tuesday’s matchup against the Padres with a .249 batting average to go along with 25 home runs and 62 RBI this season. Soto’s on-base percentage remains strong at .384 this season, and he has a mouthwatering matchup against Padres starter Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.84 ERA) on Tuesday. Bergert gave up three hits, including two home runs, in his last start. Plus, Soto has gone over his bases market in four of his past five games when favored and facing a top-third defense. The model projects Soto will finish with 1.8 total bases in its latest simulations, which makes the +130 prop worth wagering on.
Pirates money line vs. Giants (+141)
The Pirates enter tonight’s contest on a three-game winning streak, which includes a 6-5 victory over the Giants on Monday. Now, the Pirates will take on Giants starter Justin Verlander, who owns an abysmal 1-8 record this season. Verlander enters Tuesday’s matchup with a 4.70 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and 70:33 K:BB ratio across 84.1 innings. SportsLine’s model has Pittsburgh winning in 45% of simulations, creating value on the money line.
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You can also see today’s top MLB picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who’s on a sizzling 67-58-1 roll on his last 126 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up over 1 units.